Portfolio — Analytics, Modelling & Decision Support
Selected examples of applied analytics used to support forecasting, planning, and risk-informed decision-making in public health. Work is grouped by analytical approach rather than tools.
Predictive Analysis
HIV Prevention Commodity Demand Forecasting
Decision context: Support national planning and risk mitigation for HIV prevention commodities.
Analytical focus: Time-series forecasting, demand scenarios, and uncertainty analysis.
Decision insight: Informed multi-year procurement planning and proactive mitigation of stock-out risks.
View analysisDashboard Analysis
Syphilis in ANC Analytics Dashboard
Decision context: National and provincial monitoring of syphilis testing and treatment coverage in antenatal care.
Analytical focus: Performance monitoring, early-warning indicators for service and supply gaps.
Decision insight: Enabled early identification of underperforming areas and coordinated corrective action.
View dashboardCondom Distribution Performance Dashboard
Decision context: Evaluate programme performance and equity across distribution channels.
Analytical focus: Geographic equity analysis and channel-level trends.
Decision insight: Supported optimisation of distribution strategies to improve reach and equity.
View dashboardHealth Economics Models
Diagnostics Budget Impact & Affordability Modelling
Decision context: Assess affordability of scaling up diagnostic interventions within constrained budgets.
Analytical focus: Budget impact analysis, scenario comparison, and cost assumptions.
Decision insight: Supported evidence-based decisions on phased scale-up and resource allocation.
Across all work, the emphasis is on using analytics to inform real decisions — not only to report performance, but to manage uncertainty and improve system outcomes.